Message #4 by Rob Reed @ March 27, 2010, 05:25pm just read what i said before :) worth the gamble in very deep leagues... I don't expect that he will be anywhere near his spring, though

Message #3 by Bearlo0317 @ March 27, 2010, 04:20pm Fausto Carmona I had to take a shot on him in my H2H league. I will give him 2-3 starts if he gets rocked I cut bate. But 3-0 in the spring with a .45 ERA hard to pass on.

Message #2 by Rob Reed @ February 13, 2010, 11:40pm expect improvement The Indians are relying on this guy as their #2... I would like his chances more if he was a #4 or #5 in the rotation. His BABIP and strand rates, last year, indicate that he suffered from bad luck. What can we expect? I think AT BEST, high 3 ERA... 10-12 wins. Most likely, a 4.5-4.75 ERA, 10-12 wins, lousy Ks. WHIP in the 1.3's-1.4's. This DOES make him a solid #4,#5 gamble in AL-only leagues, and I think that is easily where you can get him, considering his last two seasons. Personally, I am looking to gamble on him in a farm team draft. If he begins the season in the same shape he was in 2008 and 2009, then it won't hurt as much to cut bait.

Message #1 by Rob Reed @ December 16, 2008, 02:20pm How the mighty have fallen I had a conversation with a bartender during the 2007 season where I debated whether Carmona -- midseason -- was going to crash and burn. I said he would. The bartender said no way (he was from Cleveland, of course). He was right. But, I sure wish I could have a chat with that bartender now. Carmona's 2008 FIP indicates a 4.73 ERA was more fitting him. But, that still really, really stinks... especially for a pitcher who was ranked #11 in all of baseball in 2007.

x=year; y=% of available fantasy points per year x 1000

PLAYERtrack player stats & ranks
        for Fausto Carmona

G GS IP W L SV HLD ERA HR WHIP 2010 33 33 210.1 13 14 0 0 3.77 17 1.31 SO K/9 HA BABIP FIP LOB QS 124 5.31 203 .268 4.010 74% 22 2010 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 83

G GS IP W L SV HLD ERA HR WHIP 2009 24 24 125.1 5 12 0 0 6.32 16 1.76 SO K/9 HA BABIP FIP LOB QS 79 5.67 151 .313 5.27 66% 2009 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 146

G GS IP W L SV HLD ERA HR WHIP 2008 22 22 120.2 8 7 0 0 5.44 7 1.62 SO K/9 HA BABIP FIP LOB QS 58 4.33 126 .281 4.73 66% 2008 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 201

G GS IP W L SV HLD ERA HR WHIP 2007 32 32 215.0 19 8 0 0 3.06 16 1.21 SO K/9 HA BABIP FIP LOB QS 137 5.73 199 .265 3.74 78% 2007 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 42

G GS IP W L SV HLD ERA HR WHIP 2006 38 7 74.2 1 10 0 10 5.42 9 1.59 SO K/9 HA BABIP FIP LOB QS 58 6.99 88 .322 4.46 69% 2006 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 223