Daisuke Matsuzaka, NYN, NL
Birthdate: 09-13-1980
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| Message #3
by Rob Reed @ February 7, 2009, 08:30am |
Hi LJ! Welcome to the message boards.
I'm not saying Dice won't be good... I'm just saying he will be worse.
I expect him to be pretty much the same pitcher he was in 2007. For strikeouts and wins, this is very nice.
For everything else, it is not very nice.
Every time a batter hit a ball in play (BABIP) last season, it only went through for a hit 20.8% of the time. For pitchers with 150 IP or more, the league average last season was 25.9%. As the link, below, notes... the Red Sox pitchers (including Dice in the mix) had a team BABIP of .241.
Doesn't look good for Dice, if you think you're getting the same beast as last year. 
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| Message #2 by LJ Holroyd @ February 7, 2009, 04:59am |
man dice-k is gonna be beast as always u cnt say anything rob reed dice- k is gonna be beast again
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| Message #1 by Rob Reed @ January 14, 2009, 05:02pm |
| A regression most likely? |
Is Dice-K's 2008 ERA a reasonable possibility for 2009? Not if you look at his BABIP. Take a look at this blog entry (at the bottom) for some details.
http://www.playertrack.com/blog.pl?21
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PLAYERtrack overall ranking graph
for Daisuke Matsuzakax=year; y=% of available fantasy points per year x 1000
Stat Chart
PLAYERtrack player stats & ranks
for Daisuke Matsuzaka
| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2013 | 7 | 7 | 38.2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4.42 | 4 | 1.24 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 33 | 7.68 | 32 | .252 | 4.08 | 68% | 3 | |
| 2013 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 310
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| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2012 | 11 | 11 | 45.2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8.28 | 11 | 1.71 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 41 | 8.08 | 58 | .329 | 5.85 | 57% | 2 | |
| Did not pitch 50+ innings so not ranked
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| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2011 | 8 | 7 | 37.1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5.30 | 4 | 1.47 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 26 | 6.27 | 32 | .246 | 5.05 | 66% | 2 | |
| Did not pitch 50+ innings so not ranked
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| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2010 | 25 | 25 | 153.2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4.69 | 13 | 1.37 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 133 | 7.79 | 137 | .274 | 4.01 | 67% | 10 | |
| 2010 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 101
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| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2009 | 12 | 12 | 59.1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5.76 | 10 | 1.87 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 54 | 8.19 | 81 | .364 | 5.09 | 75% | | |
| 2009 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 233
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| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2008 | 29 | 29 | 167.2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.810 | 12 | 1.32 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 154 | 8.27 | 128 | .249 | 3.98 | 81% | | |
| 2008 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 35
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| G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | HLD | ERA | HR | WHIP |
| 2007 | 32 | 32 | 204.2 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4.310 | 25 | 1.32 |
| SO | K/9 | HA | BABIP | FIP | LOB | QS | |
| 201 | 8.84 | 191 | .287 | 3.910 | 72% | | |
| 2007 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 8
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| The PLAYERtrack rankings, above, are under standard 5x5 format (ERA, K, W, SV, WHIP), minimum of 50 innings pitched; players are ranked versus all AL/NL pitchers |
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