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Mike Fontenot, SF, NL
Birthdate: 06-09-1980
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Message #2 by Rob Reed @ March 12, 2009, 11:17am
re: sleeper?
You are right to be hesitant in mentioning his average... that's because his BABIP was so much higher in 2008 than it was in 2007.

Then again, Mike was a .345 career BABIP hitter in the minors... so, can he hit closer to .300 than .260? Yah, I think so.

His career OBP is in the .360s, so the .390 last season is likely an aberration, but .360 is still reasonable AND a good stat.

He seems to have stopped running in 2005, just after he was thrown out 33% of the time in 2004, so I don't see him getting as many bases as you are suggesting. I would expect the 7 he got in 2007 in 374 ABs to be the best you could expect with a full season. Not bad, but not great... and my gut is telling me that 7 is probably a stretch.

He's older than most folks realize (29 in June).

His 9 HRs in 243 ABs last year resulted in his biggest AB/HR in his professional career... and by a huge margin. His entire minor league career saw him hit only 1 HR every 50 ABs. Last season, he hit 1 HR in every 27 ABs.

Because of a lack of a substantial MLB data set, I'm hesitant to say he can hit 20, but 15 or close to 15 seems reasonable.

He's a sleeper, for sure, but not one without a lot of risk... and, because 2B is a deeper position than many think, there are probably a lot of better options out there.

In very deep leagues, he's worth the risk. He is one who I have been targeting for my money league's farm team squad (where we pick 11 players - 4 pitchers, 3 IF, 3 OF, and 1 C - in a snake draft at the end of the auction).

Some final food for thought:

If I was predicting, I would probably spot him at: .282 AVG, 11 HR, 82 R, 75 RBI, 4 SB.

Let's compare that to the benchmark that PLAYERtrack gives us for 2B with 20 games played, min 400 ABs, and standard 5x5 last season:

529 AB, .284 AVG, .341 OBP, 81 R, 14 HR, 65 RBI, 11 SB

My prediction has him lower than the average 2B in AVG, HR, and SBs.

Message #1 by Brian Ramos @ March 12, 2009, 09:57am
sleeper?
I have been watching fontenot since last year. Now that it seems like he will win the starting 2B job, what are your thoughts about him as a potential sleeper 2B this year? He seems to have decent pop and speed. In that lineup I could see him put up good numbers. Maybe 15-20HR and 10SB?

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PLAYERtrack overall ranking graph
        for Mike Fontenot

x=year; y=% of available fantasy points per year x 1000

Stat Chart

PLAYERtrack player stats & ranks
        for Mike Fontenot

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20129728201513.289.3370
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
23.37076%.3400.677
2012 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 281

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20112205015342122.227.3065
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
48.27478%.3770.683
2011 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 349
2011 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 52
2011 (SS) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 44

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20102406813312524.283.3251
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
41.33882%.3750.7
2010 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 243
2010 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 39

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20093778922294338.236.3014
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
83.28177%.3770.678
2009 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 302
2009 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 51
2009 (3B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 49

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20082437422194042.305.3902
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
51.35579%.5140.904
2008 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 48
2008 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 6

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20073749620754049.257.3177
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
80.31578%.3880.705
2007 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 254
2007 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 37

The PLAYERtrack rankings, above, are under standard 5x5 format (AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB), minimum of 20 games played at a position; players are ranked versus all AL/NL hitters, PRORATED