Mike Fontenot, SF, NL Birthdate: 06-09-1980
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Message #2
by Rob Reed @ March 12, 2009, 11:17am |
You are right to be hesitant in mentioning his average... that's because his BABIP was so much higher in 2008 than it was in 2007.
Then again, Mike was a .345 career BABIP hitter in the minors... so, can he hit closer to .300 than .260? Yah, I think so.
His career OBP is in the .360s, so the .390 last season is likely an aberration, but .360 is still reasonable AND a good stat.
He seems to have stopped running in 2005, just after he was thrown out 33% of the time in 2004, so I don't see him getting as many bases as you are suggesting. I would expect the 7 he got in 2007 in 374 ABs to be the best you could expect with a full season. Not bad, but not great... and my gut is telling me that 7 is probably a stretch.
He's older than most folks realize (29 in June).
His 9 HRs in 243 ABs last year resulted in his biggest AB/HR in his professional career... and by a huge margin. His entire minor league career saw him hit only 1 HR every 50 ABs. Last season, he hit 1 HR in every 27 ABs.
Because of a lack of a substantial MLB data set, I'm hesitant to say he can hit 20, but 15 or close to 15 seems reasonable.
He's a sleeper, for sure, but not one without a lot of risk... and, because 2B is a deeper position than many think, there are probably a lot of better options out there.
In very deep leagues, he's worth the risk. He is one who I have been targeting for my money league's farm team squad (where we pick 11 players - 4 pitchers, 3 IF, 3 OF, and 1 C - in a snake draft at the end of the auction).
Some final food for thought:
If I was predicting, I would probably spot him at: .282 AVG, 11 HR, 82 R, 75 RBI, 4 SB.
Let's compare that to the benchmark that PLAYERtrack gives us for 2B with 20 games played, min 400 ABs, and standard 5x5 last season:
529 AB, .284 AVG, .341 OBP, 81 R, 14 HR, 65 RBI, 11 SB
My prediction has him lower than the average 2B in AVG, HR, and SBs.
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Message #1 by Brian Ramos @ March 12, 2009, 09:57am |
I have been watching fontenot since last year. Now that it seems like he will win the starting 2B job, what are your thoughts about him as a potential sleeper 2B this year? He seems to have decent pop and speed. In that lineup I could see him put up good numbers. Maybe 15-20HR and 10SB?
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PLAYERtrack overall ranking graph         for Mike Fontenotx=year; y=% of available fantasy points per year x 1000
Stat Chart
PLAYERtrack player stats & ranks         for Mike Fontenot
| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2012 | 97 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | .289 | .337 | 0 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 23 | .370 | 76% | .340 | 0.677 | | | | | | |
2012 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 281 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2011 | 220 | 50 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 22 | .227 | .306 | 5 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 48 | .274 | 78% | .377 | 0.683 | | | | | | |
2011 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 349 |
2011 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 52 |
2011 (SS) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 44 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2010 | 240 | 68 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 24 | .283 | .325 | 1 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 41 | .338 | 82% | .375 | 0.7 | | | | | | |
2010 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 243 |
2010 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 39 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2009 | 377 | 89 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 38 | .236 | .301 | 4 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 83 | .281 | 77% | .377 | 0.678 | | | | | | |
2009 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 302 |
2009 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 51 |
2009 (3B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 49 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2008 | 243 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 42 | .305 | .390 | 2 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 51 | .355 | 79% | .514 | 0.904 | | | | | | |
2008 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 48 |
2008 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 6 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2007 | 374 | 96 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 49 | .257 | .317 | 7 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 80 | .315 | 78% | .388 | 0.705 | | | | | | |
2007 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 254 |
2007 (2B) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 37 |
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The PLAYERtrack rankings, above, are under standard 5x5 format (AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB), minimum of 20 games played at a position; players are ranked versus all AL/NL hitters, PRORATED |
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