Jay Bruce, CIN, NL Birthdate: 04-03-1987
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Message #3
by Rob Reed @ March 1, 2011, 06:21pm |
Jay Bruce's fantasy value in the short term is if you can GET him at value... and as you suggest, there is a LOT of hype, and that just can't happen.
Can he be top 60 by the end of the season? Certainly. His prorated rank of 74 predicts at least 7th round value, so it is close.
But, you are exactly right... the BABIP is not proven. It means that more likely than not, we can expect him to hit in the .250s. This being said, his power is developing.
And, of the top 74 under proration, 35 of those are OFs who are ranked higher than Jay.
So, in the short term, I see him as a Mark Reynolds/Adam Dunn type of ballplayer who can kill your average... by 2015? He'll probably be one of the best in the business.
He is not high on my target lists THIS year because of the potential to bomb in the average department. If this does happen, however, this could be GREAT news to draft him much cheaply in 2012.
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Message #2 by Bearlo0317 @ February 28, 2011, 07:08pm |
I have been burned the last few year drafting him higher then I should have in some leagues. Wont do it again so that means he will break out this year.
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Message #1 by Brian Ramos @ February 28, 2011, 03:24pm |
Many rankings have him in the top 60 overall mainly due to a couple of hot months in the 2nd half. I see a high BABIP, mediocre CR and lots of SOs. He is still very young, but is he a true breakout candidate?
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PLAYERtrack overall ranking graph         for Jay Brucex=year; y=% of available fantasy points per year x 1000
Stat Chart
PLAYERtrack player stats & ranks         for Jay Bruce
| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2013 | 626 | 164 | 43 | 1 | 30 | 109 | 89 | .262 | .329 | 7 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 185 | .326 | 70% | .478 | 0.807 | | | | | | |
2013 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 63 |
2013 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 18 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2012 | 560 | 141 | 35 | 5 | 34 | 99 | 89 | .252 | .326 | 9 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 155 | .288 | 72% | .514 | 0.84 | | | | | | |
2012 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 55 |
2012 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 31 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2011 | 585 | 150 | 27 | 2 | 32 | 97 | 84 | .256 | .337 | 8 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 158 | .299 | 72% | .474 | 0.811 | | | | | | |
2011 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 94 |
2011 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 48 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2010 | 509 | 143 | 23 | 5 | 25 | 70 | 80 | .281 | .354 | 5 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 136 | .339 | 73% | .493 | 0.847 | | | | | | |
2010 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 74 |
2010 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 36 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2009 | 345 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 22 | 58 | 47 | .223 | .300 | 3 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 75 | .222 | 78% | .470 | 0.77 | | | | | | |
2009 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 164 |
2009 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 83 |
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| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | AVG | OBP | SB | |
2008 | 413 | 105 | 17 | 1 | 21 | 52 | 63 | .254 | .309 | 4 | |
| SO | BABIP | CR% | SLG | OPS | | | | | | |
| 110 | .298 | 73% | .453 | 0.762 | | | | | | |
2008 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 152 |
2008 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 75 |
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The PLAYERtrack rankings, above, are under standard 5x5 format (AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB), minimum of 20 games played at a position; players are ranked versus all AL/NL hitters, PRORATED |
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