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Jason Bay, SEA, AL
Birthdate: 09-20-1978
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Message #9 by Rob Reed @ March 20, 2011, 04:12pm
I think the Mets will surprise this year
The pitching is lacking, but I think their offense is going to pick up... Only major weak links in the lineup are at catcher and 2B... otherwise, I like their offense...

I do agree 8th round is too early... ADP is 134.. or 13th round of 10 teamer... there's potential for ridiculous value here... his fantasy value was very high in 2008 and 2009... chances of a return to these higher levels is excellent, in my opinion (health permitting).

Message #8 by Fantasy Addict @ March 20, 2011, 12:11am
Comments
the Mets lineup is terrible and Jason will likely be dragged down with it. I don't know why, I guess from watching him play, I have never liked Bay. He just doesn't seem like a baseball player to me. Even when the numbers look good, there's nothing impressive about him. If I could get bay after round 8, I'd consider it, but not before that. Bad team, bad stadium, bad lineup, injury risk.. I'll pass.

Message #7 by Brian Ramos @ March 19, 2011, 07:31pm
drafted him
Took him last night. I agree with you: I think that he could jump back close to what he was in previous years, just like David Wright jumped back to normal last year. I am not expecting 30 HRs, but could see 25 HRs, 10-15 SBs (10 for 10 last yr), and good counting stats. Bay just had a weird year last season.

Message #6 by Rob Reed @ March 19, 2011, 02:05pm
I'm on the record, in print
When Fantasy Baseball Index magazine queried me on the NL player drafted late who will provide first round value, I named Jason.

So, would I take a gamble on Jason? Absolutely.

Message #5 by Brian Ramos @ March 18, 2011, 10:34am
doesn't make sense
His numbers don't make sense to me other than it was an injury plagued yr capped by a concussion. Contact rate was about what he usually does along with an above league avg BABIP (which he has done many times before, plus CITI field wasn't his issue (.830 OPS there). How could he end up with such terrible numbers other than he was injured or something else. Would you take a gamble on him in the middle rounds as a bounceback candidate?

Message #4 by Rob Reed @ December 29, 2009, 07:36pm
with the move to Citi Field
There's the possibility that he becomes similar to a Matt Holliday-type away from Coors Field. So, this means he could still be pretty good. His OBP has been stellar the last few seasons, and with a healthy Beltran, Delgado, Wright, and Reyes in the mix, this is a great team (with lousy pitching)... and Bay has great hitters all around him (even if the power will drop).

The increase in strikeouts with the new field, however, is enough for me to raise the white flag. I think he goes off my personal radar now.

Message #3 by Dr. Rub @ 3/24/07, 11:56pm
definately underated
He should be one of the top 10 or 12 5x5 outfielders in baseball for maybe the next few seasons.

Message #2 by Rob Reed @ 3/24/07, 1:49pm
re: underrated
Bay was still incredible and among the fantasy elite last year. With his 11th place ranking in OF, he sets himself out as a borderline #1 OF on any fantasy team.

One more season like last season, and he will place himself confidently in the fantasy elite.

And, I should point out, he ranks 8 places higher than Carl Crawford (wink, wink).

Message #1 by Taklamakan @ 3/24/07, 12:15pm
underrated
This guy was a consensus first-rounder last year. Now he might have disappointed a little at that price (especially with the drop in steals and average) but I still see him as a high second-round talent ready to go off again. Pittsburgh will be a better offense for him to accumulate the R and RBI this year, too.

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PLAYERtrack overall ranking graph
        for Jason Bay

x=year; y=% of available fantasy points per year x 1000

Stat Chart

PLAYERtrack player stats & ranks
        for Jason Bay

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20132064260112030.204.2933
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
62.23369%.3930.686
2013 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 388

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
2012194322082021.165.2395
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
58.18870%.2990.538
2012 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 405
2012 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 171

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
2011444109191125759.245.33011
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
109.30075%.3740.704
2011 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 199
2011 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 102

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
20103489020664748.259.34210
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
91.33573%.4020.744
2010 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 158
2010 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 83

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
200953114229336119103.267.37813
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
162.31869%.5370.915
2009 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 15
2009 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 4

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
200857716535431101111.286.37410
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
137.32876%.5220.896
2008 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 26
2008 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 12

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
2007538133252218478.247.3224
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
141.29873%.4180.74
2007 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 194
2007 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 94

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
200657016329335109101.286.39611
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
156.33872%.5320.928
2006 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 53
2006 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 23

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
200559918344632101110.306.40221
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
142.35576%.5590.961
2005 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 19
2005 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 6

ABH2B3BHRRBIRAVGOBPSB
2004411116244268261.282.3584
SOBABIPCR%SLGOPS
129.35268%.5500.908
2004 OVERALL PLAYERTRACK RANK: 41
2004 (OF) PLAYERTRACK RANK: 23

The PLAYERtrack rankings, above, are under standard 5x5 format (AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB), minimum of 20 games played at a position; players are ranked versus all AL/NL hitters, PRORATED