1. Tim Lincecum: 148.2 IP, 38 ER, 11 W, 3 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 116 H, 40 BB, 6 HR, 183 SO, 2.30 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 79% LOB, 11.1 K/9, 4.58 K/BB, 0.36 HR/9, 2.42 BB/9, .295 BABIP, 2.07 FIP
Strand rate above league average, but not far off. His high BABIP means that notwithstanding his great numbers, his success has little to do with luck. Amazing pitcher who will only lose high value if he gets injured.
2. Zack Greinke: 147.1 IP, 34 ER, 10 W, 6 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 133 H, 28 BB, 6 HR, 153 SO, 2.08 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 83% LOB, 9.35 K/9, 5.46 K/BB, 0.37 HR/9, 1.71 BB/9, .305 BABIP, 2.22 FIP
Pretty much the same analysis as Lincecum.
3. Dan Haren: 148.0 IP, 36 ER, 10 W, 6 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 105 H, 22 BB, 14 HR, 146 SO, 2.19 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 84% LOB, 8.88 K/9, 6.64 K/BB, 0.85 HR/9, 1.34 BB/9, .234 BABIP, 2.90 FIP
While he has been amazing, his FIP, strand rate, and BABIP indicate a regression the rest of the way. Now would be a good time to shop for whatever offensive needs you need...
4. Roy Halladay: 148.0 IP, 44 ER, 11 W, 4 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 139 H, 20 BB, 11 HR, 129 SO, 2.68 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 80% LOB, 7.84 K/9, 6.45 K/BB, 0.67 HR/9, 1.22 BB/9, .289 BABIP, 2.83 FIP
More of the same.
5. Felix Hernandez: 145.1 IP, 45 ER, 11 W, 4 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 128 H, 39 BB, 10 HR, 139 SO, 2.79 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 79% LOB, 8.61 K/9, 3.56 K/BB, 0.62 HR/9, 2.42 BB/9, .284 BABIP, 2.99 FIP
What you see is what you get here, too. He has arrived as a top tier pitcher.
6. Justin Verlander: 145.1 IP, 51 ER, 12 W, 5 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 127 H, 43 BB, 12 HR, 172 SO, 3.16 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 77% LOB, 10.7 K/9, 4.00 K/BB, 0.74 HR/9, 2.66 BB/9, .303 BABIP, 2.79 FI
No reason to cut bait. His stats are for real.
7. Matt Cain: 140.0 IP, 33 ER, 12 W, 2 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 110 H, 54 BB, 12 HR, 112 SO, 2.12 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 88% LOB, 7.20 K/9, 2.07 K/BB, 0.77 HR/9, 3.47 BB/9, .241 BABIP, 3.87 FIP
Low BABIP, high strand rate, crazy high FIP versus actual ERA. CUT BAIT ASAP!
8. Josh Beckett: 36.0 IP, 52 ER, 12 W, 4 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 119 H, 37 BB, 10 HR, 127 SO, 3.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 73% LOB, 8.40 K/9, 3.43 K/BB, 0.66 HR/9, 2.45 BB/9, .279 BABIP, 3.10 FIP
Had been so good, and these stats indicate he could even end the season better. A top 5 finish is probably in the cards.
9. Johan Santana: 137.0 IP, 45 ER, 12 W, 8 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 124 H, 43 BB, 16 HR, 128 SO, 2.96 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 84% LOB, 8.41 K/9, 2.98 K/BB, 1.05 HR/9, 2.82 BB/9, .276 BABIP, 3.79 FIP
Perhaps a mild dropoff, but still top 10 material.
10. Wandy Rodriguez: 132.2 IP, 39 ER, 10 W, 6 L, 0 SV, 0 HOLDS, 119 H, 44 BB, 14 HR, 124 SO, 2.65 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 86% LOB, 8.41 K/9, 2.82 K/BB, 0.95 HR/9, 2.98 BB/9, .277 BABIP, 3.610 FIP
Due for a regression, but not much. I stick with him, too.
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The two top 10 pitchers to trade for need: Matt Cain and Dan Haren.
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