PLAYERtrack's MPP's for Week 52: 12-22-08 to 12-28-08
by: Rob Reed
| December 29, 2008, 11:28am
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Tale of Two Seasons (T.O.T.S.) #1
by: Rob Reed
| December 27, 2008, 6:39pm
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Welcome to the Tale of Two Seasons column, where I'll post a particular player's notable statistics from two different seasons, generally focusing on a notable improvement or crash. In the name of brevity, I'll be referring to these fellows as "TOTs."
Our first TOT pulled an "Adrian Beltre" in 2007, where he broke through the ranks of fantasy obscurity by conveniently tearing it up in a walk-off year. Then, he came back to return to fantasy disappointment.
After his 2007 breakout season, this TOT ended up signing a 5-year, $60 million dollar contract. His new team, obviously, was impressed by... [read more] |
The value of the BABIP stat
by: Rob Reed
| December 20, 2008, 3:51pm
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The popularity of the BABIP (batting average on balls in play) statistic in the last year has been pretty substantial, evidenced by a simple google search. Consider me one of the folks who recently discovered its value.
Today, I have edited the PLAYERtrack ranking system to allow you to search BABIP+ (highest BABIP to lowest) and the reverse (BABIP-).
In doing some test searches, I discovered that my fantasy philosophy has evolved quite a bit in the positive direction because of basic sabermetrics. In particular, I'm going to focus on Melvin Mora to provide an example.
In 2005, when I first made... [read more] |
2008 Top 5 starters ERA and FIP, minimum 100 IP
by: Rob Reed
| December 17, 2008, 3:52pm
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Now that the FIP statistic is available here at PLAYERtrack, I decided to do a search of the top 5 pitchers in ERA and FIP, which -- if the FIP statistic is worth its weight in gold -- should predict pitchers who fared well in 2008 who should also fare well in 2009.
Presenting the top 5, starters, minimum 100 IP:
1) Cliff Lee: In 2008, he ranks 3rd in ERA (2.54) and 3rd in FIP (2.83), making him the #1 pitcher in all of baseball looking at these two categories solely.
In Cliff, we have a strange beast.
In 2005, Cliff was the 27th... [read more] |
FIP added!
by: Rob Reed
| December 16, 2008, 1:46pm
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I have added the category of "Fielding Independent Pitching," which is an estimator of an actual ERA without considering defensive factors and focusing only on pitching.
Here's an article on the formula we use here: http://www.ehow.com /how_2288361_calculate-fip-statistic.html
The formula was created by Tom Tango at tangotiger.net, and is detailed in his book that is sold on that site.
In truth, to me, the formula seems very arbitrary. For instance, why multiply homers by 13? Why add 3.20? I have no clue, but I am no statistician.
So, I'm not sold on this statistic yet, but it will be interesting to analyze pitchers using... [read more] |
Dodgers (and your fantasy squad) should sign Rafael over Manny
by: Rob Reed
| December 1, 2008, 5:27pm
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If Dodger GM Ned Colletti really wants to prove his mettle (and, I believe we're already passed that after last year's Dodger OF debacle), he should sign Rafael Furcal rather than Manny Ramirez.
Unfortunately, this is not going to happen, according to the L.A. Times (http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/sports_blog/ 2008/11/rafael-furcal-n.html). The Dodgers have not talked to Furcal, despite the intense rumor mill of other teams -- specifically the A's -- flirting with Rafael like he's a Maxim model.
Rafael Furcal is a .280+ avg, .350+ obp career lead off hitter, who showed remarkable power last year in his limited play before injury.
And, granted, choosing Furcal over... [read more] |
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6/8/11: June Update podcast - Rob looks at pitchers about to break out and hitters about to break up... standard 5x5. PLAYERtrack is now FREE!
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Adam Jones: tommy1 by tommy1
(March 10, 2022, 06:20am) |
Mike Trout: tommy1 by tommy1
(March 10, 2022, 06:17am) |
Mike Trout: I suppose... by Rob Reed
(April 6, 2013, 08:25pm) |
Victor Martinez: Good question by Rob Reed
(March 22, 2013, 04:42pm) |
Victor Martinez: keeper question by bramos
(February 28, 2013, 08:36am) |
Adam Jones: Tearing it up... by Rob Reed
(May 8, 2012, 03:40pm) |
Bryce Harper: 19-years old by Rob Reed
(May 7, 2012, 10:45am) |
Johnny Cueto: k rate went down by Rob Reed
(April 3, 2012, 04:18pm) |
Alex Gordon: high babip and league avg contact by Rob Reed
(March 27, 2012, 11:49am) |
Mike Aviles: I like Aviles by Rob Reed
(March 26, 2012, 04:03pm) |
Mike Aviles: thoughts? by Brian Ramos
(March 26, 2012, 01:38pm) |
Sean Marshall: definitely by Brian Ramos
(March 26, 2012, 01:34pm) |
Sean Marshall: closer by Rob Reed
(March 25, 2012, 11:51pm) |
Matt Cain: surprised by Rob Reed
(March 25, 2012, 09:15pm) |
Jacoby Ellsbury: hellooooooo power by Rob Reed
(March 23, 2012, 06:19pm) |
Curtis Granderson: well, he didn't hit .285 by Rob Reed
(March 23, 2012, 01:25pm) |
Alex Rios: the stolen bases are done by Rob Reed
(March 23, 2012, 09:08am) |
Eric Hosmer: interesting by Rob Reed
(March 23, 2012, 09:04am) |
Greg Halman: R.I.P. by Rob Reed
(March 22, 2012, 03:29pm) |
Jed Lowrie: personally by Rob Reed
(February 24, 2012, 02:37pm) |
Hanley Ramirez: absolutely agree by Rob Reed
(February 24, 2012, 02:34pm) |
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